385 - ORGANIZATIONAL EMERGENCE UNDER EXTREME UNCERTAINTY: A COMPLEXITY THEORY ANALYSIS

Session: D01S047 - Organizational Change & Resilience
AUTHORS:
Bar-Gil Oshri (Bar-Ilan University ~ Ramat Gan ~ Israel)
Abstract text:
The October 7, 2023 terrorist attack in Israel created an unprecedented national emergency, with over 1,200 fatalities and 3,200 hostages and missing persons. This study examines the spontaneous emergence of organizational structures within the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) to support families of civilian hostages, analyzing how complex adaptive systems respond to extreme uncertainty and trauma.
Using complexity theory as a theoretical framework, we conducted an in-depth participant observation case study of the military administration established to coordinate care for hostage families. As embedded practitioners-researchers involved in managing this response, we documented the real-time emergence of organizational structures, inter-organizational cooperation patterns, and adaptive learning processes over twelve months.
Our analysis reveals four critical dimensions of organizational emergence in crisis: (1) Spontaneous structure formation - new roles, teams, and protocols emerged organically without pre-existing blueprints; (2) Fractal emergence - micro-level interactions between liaison officers and families replicated and scaled to shape macro-organizational patterns; (3) Network cooperation - rapid formation of "team of teams" structures spanning military, governmental, and civilian organizations; (4) Information as organizing principle - data collection and sharing processes became the central mechanism for creating shared meaning and coordinated action.
Key findings demonstrate that effective crisis response requires organizational flexibility rather than rigid preparedness protocols. The study shows how continuous learning, rapid adaptation, and information architecture enable resilient organizational emergence under conditions of extreme uncertainty and emotional intensity.
This research contributes to understanding organizational psychology in extreme contexts, offering insights for crisis management, emergency response systems, and post-traumatic organizational growth. The findings have implications for developing adaptive capacity in organizations facing unpredictable challenges, particularly where human welfare and psychological support are paramount concerns.